Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.216276 0.256558 0.301689 0.355916 0.419222 0.490705 0.577459
2025-05-25 0.148168 0.197255 0.258319 0.339535 0.444356 0.574688 0.748593
2025-06-01 0.117336 0.170194 0.241232 0.342989 0.484198 0.672286 0.940684
2025-06-08 0.092305 0.143987 0.218119 0.331111 0.497629 0.732349 1.086168
2025-06-15 0.079239 0.131594 0.211005 0.338612 0.536471 0.828943 1.290458
2025-06-22 0.067796 0.119240 0.201348 0.339767 0.564445 0.911003 1.480622
2025-06-29 0.057513 0.106756 0.189186 0.334483 0.580527 0.975196 1.648566
2025-07-06 0.049269 0.096213 0.178383 0.329373 0.595304 1.037568 1.818491
2025-07-13 0.045238 0.092470 0.178523 0.342626 0.641916 1.155822 2.091095
2025-07-20 0.043196 0.092070 0.184431 0.366614 0.709547 1.315607 2.448982
2025-07-27 0.040264 0.089415 0.185680 0.381910 0.762775 1.454868 2.783435
2025-08-03 0.036097 0.083548 0.179883 0.382823 0.788927 1.547570 3.042109
2025-08-10 0.030816 0.074730 0.167556 0.370436 0.790470 1.599577 3.239867
2025-08-17 0.025807 0.065650 0.153416 0.352558 0.779306 1.627175 3.396272
2025-08-24 0.023244 0.061729 0.149696 0.356073 0.812072 1.743202 3.736014
2025-08-31 0.019924 0.055342 0.139464 0.343764 0.809637 1.788042 3.937196
2025-09-07 0.018344 0.053020 0.138221 0.351534 0.851595 1.927898 4.346248
2025-09-14 0.016564 0.049834 0.134415 0.352730 0.878832 2.039171 4.705579
2025-09-21 0.014656 0.045929 0.128221 0.347256 0.889928 2.116431 4.998830
2025-09-28 0.013001 0.042407 0.122444 0.341963 0.900691 2.193762 5.299236
2025-10-05 0.012353 0.041720 0.124026 0.355691 0.959176 2.384520 5.871830
2025-10-12 0.012180 0.042451 0.129563 0.380537 1.048065 2.653614 6.647489
2025-10-19 0.011652 0.041971 0.131656 0.396379 1.115829 2.879120 7.341084